CME Group

Natural gas prices in Europe and Asia are about five and eight times higher, respectively, than in the U.S. Scan the above QR code for more expert analysis of market events and trends driving opportunities today! This post contains sponsored advertising content. This content is for...

AT A GLANCE As the ”invoicing” currency of the world, when the U.S. dollar appreciates, other currencies essentially depreciate Rising commodity prices can be a boon for emerging economies – including oil exporters Brazil, Mexico and Russia – that rely on them as a...

AT A GLANCE The last time the Fed had a neutral interest rate policy was in 2018 In August, U.S. inflation eased slightly to 8.3%, down from 9.1% in June Federal Reserve policy is only just now moving into “neutral” territory and out of the accommodative zone. The Fed has been...

AT A GLANCE The Middle East oil embargo of 1973 spurred the creation of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, or SPR, to safeguard U.S. national energy security against such events in the future The Strategic Petroleum Reserve has dropped from over 612 million barrels to under 445 million barrels,...

AT A GLANCE Since 1945, the S&P 500 has experienced 86 pullbacks vs. 28 corrections vs. 12 bear markets With the S&P 500 down more than 18% YTD from its Jan. 3 high, the market is considered to be in a “correction phase” On March 10, 2020, in the midst of a market correction...

AT A GLANCE The Fed has been raising rates at its fastest pace in four decades in an attempt to combat inflation, but there has been talk of a pivot in its approach According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of another 75 bps rate hike at the FOMC’s September meeting is 72%...

The Fed's rate hikes are a withdrawal of its accommodative stance, not a tightening of policy that could restrict growth. -->  

  AT A GLANCE Gold has nearly kept pace with equities, but there have been periods when equities have performed much better than gold The S&P 500 to gold ratio can be a useful tool to measure investor sentiment around stocks and gold Over the past century, U.S. equities have performed...

The headline macro-economic data for the U.S. economy can be confusing.  Following an inspiring 6.9% real GDP growth rate in Q4 2021, the economy contracted by -1.6% in the first quarter and -0.6% in the second quarter of 2022. Despite this setback, labor markets were still doing exceptionally...

View August 2022 trading highlights for CME Group Fertilizer swap and futures markets in our latest monthly recap. CME Group Fertilizer Swaps and Futures Scan the above QR code for more expert analysis of market events and trends driving opportunities today!

A historical look at the performance of gold relative to equities based on geopolitical developments and the state of inflation. Scan the above QR code for more expert analysis of market events and trends driving opportunities today!

The Federal Reserve (Fed) has been raising short-term interest rates from near zero during 2022 with the guidance that more hikes are coming.  Should we call this a “tightening” of monetary policy?   No, not really, at least not yet.  A better description would be a...

Disruptions to global supply chains in the more than two years of the pandemic have led the way for inflation to soar across much of the world, forcing major central banks such as the Federal Reserve (Fed) to abruptly shift their policy stance: from low interest rates and market-supportive...

Silver tends to perform well during periods of economic prosperity, but gold is considered a haven when growth faces headwinds. Scan the above QR code for more expert analysis of market events and trends driving opportunities today!

AT A GLANCE Over the past several decades, the gold-silver ratio has ranged widely Although gold and silver are both classified as precious metals, investors often treat silver as a hybrid precious-industrial metal Gold and silver prices tend to move together, but what causes them to move...