GDP

In a bold departure from prevailing economic forecasts, Cathie Wood, the CEO and CIO of ARK Investment Management, has asserted that the prolonged “rolling recession,” that has gripped the U.S. economy for the past three years is nearing an end, paving way for a productivity-led...

Financial markets are currently pricing in a significant and rapid cycle of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve starting as early as July, according to the CME data. However, this expectation stands in stark contrast with the prevailing short-term rate market data, which suggests a different...

In the face of growing macroeconomic uncertainties and new indications of economic slowdown, investors are increasingly directing their attention out of U.S. shores. The first half of 2025 witnessed U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) contracted by 0.3%, a violent turnabout of the 2.4% expansion...

President Donald Trump deflects blame for the U.S. economy's 0.3% contraction in the first quarter onto his predecessor, despite clear evidence indicating otherwise. What Happened: On Wednesday, Trump posted on Truth Social, blaming former President Joe Biden for the country’s Gross Domestic...

The U.S. economy contracted for the first time in three years at the beginning of 2025 as a surge of imports ahead of Trump's tariffs pulled GDP negative in the first quarter.  The Details: Gross domestic product declined by 0.3% on an annualized basis during the January–March period. The...

Major Wall Street investment banks are divided over how the dollar will move from here, yet much clarity could be just days away as a deluge of key economic data looms. In an outlook shared with clients last week, Wells Fargo's economics team, led by Nick Bennenbroek, expressed a bullish short-term...

Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood has offered a contrarian view on President Donald Trump‘s tariff policies, suggesting they could be the catalyst to end a three-year “rolling recession.” What Happened: In her recent note, Wood explains that tariffs, which initially appeared as a...

Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood brushed off concerns that President Donald Trump's tariff policies could cause economic and geopolitical disaster in a weekend note on the high volatility the stock market saw last week. What Happened: Wood regularly comments on Ark portfolio names with 15% weekly moves,...

A recent survey conducted by The Wall Street Journal reveals that economists have drastically reduced growth estimates and raised inflation and unemployment projections since President Donald Trump assumed office, largely due to his trade policies. What Happened: The outlet reported on Saturday...

After President Donald Trump unveiled the tariffs on all its trading partners on Wednesday, this economist recalled his analysis of tariffs being used to fund tax cuts. Meanwhile, another senior economist highlighted other possible implications of the tariff announcements. What Happened: Craig...

Former Secretary of the Treasury Lawrence H. Summers, also known as Larry Summers, described the tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump as the “most expensive and masochistic” move by the U.S., which could roil the economy, erasing trillions of dollars. What Happened: Summers...

Economist Craig Shapiro has said that the Federal Reserve has been “gaslighting the public,” after the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, Tom Barkin said Thursday that inflation is not “de-anchored”. What Happened: Barkin, while speaking to the reporters...

Wall Street received some positive data Thursday morning after the Bureau of Economic Analysis upwardly revised U.S. gross domestic product growth for the fourth quarter of 2024. But, experts are concerned about upcoming GDP estimates as the effects of new trade policies are felt.  The Data: The...

Economic data released Thursday morning showed a marginal upward revision to U.S. gross domestic product growth for the fourth quarter of 2024, alongside a narrower but still historically high goods trade deficit for February. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the U.S. economy expanded...

With growing concern over macroeconomic items like tariffs, Roundhill Investments highlights the potential for a correction and a bear market. What Happened: After optimism for the stock market following Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election, investors are cautious with fears of...