Polymarket

Cryptocurrency bookmakers are not pricing in particularly high chances of the U.S. gaining possession of Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile anytime soon. Polymarket Sees Aggressive Betting Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket showed a 22% possibility of this...

Alt: Arthur Hayes Opposes Insider Trading Restrictions In Prediction Markets, Says ‘Data Deserves To Be Free’ And Prices Should Reflect ‘All Possible Information’ Arthur Hayes, Chief Investment Officer at Maelstrom Fund, weighed in on the insider trading debate in prediction...

Cryptocurrency bettors are pricing in slim chances of XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) reaching new highs this year. Prediction Market Grows Less Optimistic Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket currently gives only a 14% chance to XRP bettering its all-time high of $3.84—set in January 2018—before the end of...

Indonesia blocked access to Polymarket after the platform allowed bets on the premature termination of President Prabowo Subianto’s term, local media reported on Monday. Indonesia Tightens Online Gambling Rules The Indonesian Ministry of Communications and Digital Affairs classified...

The S&P 500 extended its record-setting run on Friday as easing Treasury yields and optimism around a potential resolution to the U.S.-Iran war supported risk appetite, and Polymarket traders are betting the benchmark index will open higher on Tuesday after the Memorial Day holiday. The S&P...

The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz is key to crude oil prices, as the waterway, which is 24 miles wide at its narrowest point, is responsible for over a fifth of the global crude oil supply chain. Here’s when the Strait would reopen, according to bettors on Polymarket and Kalshi....

Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) filed on Monday to run for his Kentucky House seat in 2028, and cryptocurrency punters are wagering big on his chances of becoming the GOP presidential nominee. Not Yet Among The Favorites Although Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket assigns...

Cryptocurrency punters are overwhelmingly betting that privately held AI company Anthropic will exceed a $1 trillion pre-IPO valuation by year-end. Anthropic Set To Enter Elite Club? Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket increased odds to 99% that the San Francisco-headquartered...

The S&P 500 extended its gains on Thursday as easing oil prices and cooling Treasury yields helped offset inflation concerns, and Polymarket traders are betting the benchmark index will open higher on Friday. The S&P 500 rose 0.17% to close at 7,445.72 on Thursday, marking its second...

The S&P 500 snapped a three-day losing streak on Wednesday as cooling oil prices and Treasury yields boosted investor sentiment, and Polymarket traders are betting the benchmark index will build on those gains at Thursday's open. The S&P 500 rose 1.08% to close at 7,432.97 on Wednesday,...

Cryptocurrency punters pushed odds of the U.S. launching a military campaign against Cuba to nearly 50% amid rising tensions with the island nation. Aerial Strike Likely? Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket assigned 49% probability to the U.S. initiating a drone, missile, or air strike on...

A group touting itself as a “nonpartisan” prediction market watchdog launched an ad campaign targeting Kalshi on Wednesday, calling for greater accountability in how the federally-regulated platform operates. A Counter To Kalshi’s Ad Campaign? FairPredicts launched the campaign...

Sen. Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.) introduced an amendment on Tuesday to prevent insider trading by any U.S. government official on prediction markets. Slotkin Raises Alarm Over Polymarket War Bets In an X post, Slotkin pointed to traders placing perfectly-timed bets linked to U.S. military...

The S&P 500 posted its third straight losing session on Tuesday as surging Treasury yields pressured equities, but Polymarket traders are betting the benchmark index will rebound at Wednesday's open ahead of Nvidia's (NASDAQ:NVDA) closely watched earnings report. The S&P 500 fell 0.67% to...

Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) is set to release its first-quarter financials on Wednesday after the closing bell, and cryptocurrency bettors are speculating on a variety of topics that could be mentioned during the earnings call by CEO Jensen Huang and his team. Word-Mention Market Buzzing Polygon...