seasonality

Despite the old market adage “Sell in May and go away,” historical data tells a different story — May has actually been a profitable month for the U.S. stock market in recent decades. Over the past 20 years, the S&P 500 — tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) — has...

Investors clinging to the old market adage "Sell in May and go away" risk missing reliable gains. Recent historical trends from May 1 to July 31 show the S&P 500 often rallies during this period, challenging decades-old seasonal wisdom. April, typically one of the strongest months for U.S....

April tends to be a favorable month for U.S. equities, and history makes a compelling case for this. Over the past 95 years, the S&P 500 has gained an average of 1.1% in April, finishing higher 61% of the time. In April, the index notched some of its most powerful monthly rallies in history,...

As the year draws to a close, investors are looking for one last chance to make a winning play in 2024. The S&P 500 has delivered a strong 27% surge year-to-date, but some may feel they’ve missed out on the gains—or even left money on the table with premature moves earlier in the year....

The S&P 500 index has started September on a sour note, dropping 2.8% in the first 10 days of the month. This marks the fifth-worst start for September in the last 25 years, trailing only 2020 (-5.31%), 2011 (-4.15%), 2008 (-3.34%), and 2001 (-2.97%). While the initial month weakness is...

As summer heats up, so does the stock market. The S&P 500, as tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY), has an intriguing historical seasonality pattern during presidential election years. Looking back to 1928, an analysis conducted by Bank of America shows that the S&P 500...

November stands out as a beacon of positivity in the U.S. stock market. Over the past 151 years, the S&P 500 has seen an average gain of 0.88% during November, ranking it as the third-best month of the year. But does this November vigor extend into Thanksgiving week? Chart: November’s...

Technology stocks are likely to have a high probability of rallying in the just-started month of October and then extending their positive performance into the fourth quarter of the year. This optimistic outlook is substantiated by a study conducted by Datatrek Research, which analyzed the...

The S&P 500 index has proven itself to be a seasoned sailor in 2023, gliding gracefully through market waters, steering clear of perilous tempests that could have thrown it off course. For more than 100 trading sessions, the S&P 500, as tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY)...

In the world of financial markets, September brings a sense of dread that’s hard to shake. It’s the month that has Wall Street on edge, and for good reason. A recent in-depth seasonality analysis on the S&P 500 Index conducted by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier, CFA,...

November is here, and with the arrival of the eleventh month of the year comes the start of the best six-month period for stocks. On a historical basis, November is indeed a strong month for U.S. equities. Over the past 20 years, the S&P 500 has averaged a November gain of 1.5 percent, tying...

July is here and although the seventh month of the year clearly resides in the weaker six-month period for stocks, the S&P 500 usually is not too bad in July. Over the past 20 Julys, the benchmark U.S. equity gauge has averaged a gain of 0.7 percent while closing higher 50 percent of the time....

Just two trading days have been notched in June, but U.S. stocks are off to a solid start in the final month of the quarter. That could be seen as an encouraging sign give June's reputation for being unkind to stocks. While some sector exchange-traded funds can be decent performers this month,...

The Financial Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLF), the largest exchange-traded fund dedicated to financial services stocks, rose 1.3 percent on Thursday, but the ETF is perilously close to turning negative on a year-to-date basis. Only one other sector, energy, is in the red this year. Two factors...

For all the talk about selling in May and going away, May 2017 proved to be a good month for U.S. stocks as the S&P 500 gained about 1.2 percent. June is here, which could bring some retrenchment for stocks if the sixth month of the year holds true to historical form. Over the past 20 years,...