Prediction Market

The U.S.-Iran agreement has set Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on a “collision course” with President Donald Trump, according to a report published on Monday. A Major Rift Brewing? An Israeli official told Reuters that the preliminary agreement is “terrible” for...

Cryptocurrency bettors are buzzing with speculation over a star-studded lineup of people expected at UFC Freedom 250, the historic mixed martial arts event underway on the South Lawn of the White House. Polymarket Wagers On Celebrity Attendance Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket assigned a 35%...

Punters on prediction markets are ramping up bets that Elon Musk may eventually combine Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) and SpaceX into one entity. What’s Happening On Polymarket And Kalshi? Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket assigned a 38% chance that the two companies will officially merge by...

Cryptocurrency punters raised odds that OpenAI could debut with a market valuation above $1.5 trillion, following the AI giant's confidential IPO filing. OpenAI To Be Next Trillion-Dollar Giant? Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket assigned a 48% possibility that the...

Cryptocurrency punters are largely convinced that Iran will participate in the FIFA World Cup, despite elevated geopolitical tensions and complications with U.S. visas. Will Iran Play In The US? Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket assigned 94% odds that the Iranian team will play in at...

On Saturday, Investor Ross Gerber criticized prediction markets, calling them "rigged" and "manipulated" and warning that investors are misreading them as reliable indicators. Gerber Calls Prediction Markets ‘Rigged‘ In a post on X, Gerber pushed back against the growing use of...

Cryptocurrency bettors are raising the possibility of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) diving below $50,000 this year as sentiment toward the leading digital asset continues to deteriorate. Bookmakers Turn Bearish On BTC As of this writing, Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based ...

Economist Robin Hanson accused critics and the media of exaggerating “imperfections” in prediction markets and holding them to “unusual standards” compared to other sectors. Things Blown Out Of Proportion? Hanson, known for his pioneering work in the field of prediction...

The Justice Department charged a software engineer at Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL)-owned Google on Wednesday with allegedly profiting over $1 million on Polymarket by misusing confidential information. Insider Trading In Google? Michele Spagnuolo, an Italian citizen...

Cryptocurrency bookmakers are not pricing in particularly high chances of the U.S. gaining possession of Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile anytime soon. Polymarket Sees Aggressive Betting Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket showed a 22% possibility of this...

President Donald Trump backed the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s exclusive authority over prediction markets on Tuesday, while also declaring the U.S. as the world’s Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) capital. Trump Says States Must Follow ‘Rules Of The Road’ Trump said...

Alt: Arthur Hayes Opposes Insider Trading Restrictions In Prediction Markets, Says ‘Data Deserves To Be Free’ And Prices Should Reflect ‘All Possible Information’ Arthur Hayes, Chief Investment Officer at Maelstrom Fund, weighed in on the insider trading debate in prediction...

Cryptocurrency punters are overwhelmingly betting that privately held AI company Anthropic will exceed a $1 trillion pre-IPO valuation by year-end. Anthropic Set To Enter Elite Club? Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket increased odds to 99% that the San Francisco-headquartered...

Cryptocurrency punters pushed odds of the U.S. launching a military campaign against Cuba to nearly 50% amid rising tensions with the island nation. Aerial Strike Likely? Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket assigned 49% probability to the U.S. initiating a drone, missile, or air strike on...

A group touting itself as a “nonpartisan” prediction market watchdog launched an ad campaign targeting Kalshi on Wednesday, calling for greater accountability in how the federally-regulated platform operates. A Counter To Kalshi’s Ad Campaign? FairPredicts launched the campaign...