Prediction Market

Last week, FIFA announced a multi-year deal naming ADI Predictstreet its first official partner in the prediction market category, with a global rollout planned ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026 to give fans interactive ways to forecast what happens on the pitch. The move lands as prediction markets...

The word-mention prediction market was buzzing before President Donald Trump‘s much-anticipated televised address, and bettors scored big based on which terms he used and which he avoided. The Winners And Losers After Trump’s repeated hints that the military campaign against...

JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon has revealed that the largest U.S. bank is mulling over the idea of offering prediction market services to its customers. Speaking to CBS Evening News on Tuesday, Dimon said, “It’s possible one day we’ll do something like that....

Cryptocurrency bettors remain unconvinced that vessel traffic in the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal by the end of the month despite President Donald Trump hinting at winding down the Iran campaign. Will Normalcy Return To Global Oil Trade? Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket shows 23%...

Cryptocurrency bettors don’t see Iran losing control of Kharg Island anytime soon, amid reports that President Donald Trump is considering a military deployment to the key oil export hub. Heavily Wagered Bet Polymarket, based on Polygon (CRYPTO: POL), currently assigns a 35% probability that...

Odds of a U.S. ground invasion of Iran have surged on the cryptocurrency prediction market, despite President Donald Trump's assertion that military objectives are nearly complete. Will US Troops Enter Iran? The probability that U.S. troops physically enter Iran by the end of April surged from...

The odds of the Iranian regime surviving the ongoing U.S. military offensive have surged sharply since the beginning of the month. Chances Of Islamic Republic Holding Power Spike Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket now assigns a 73% probability that Iran's current ruling system, led by the...

Cryptocurrency bettors are split on whether Mojtaba Khamenei loses his position as Iran's Supreme Leader before an official ceasefire with the U.S. is reached. Prediction Market Divided On Polymarket, based on Polygon (CRYPTO: POL), the odds that a leadership change happens before a ceasefire...

Mojtaba Khamenei may have been appointed Iran's Supreme Leader only days ago, but cryptocurrency bettors are already wagering on how soon he might exit. Bets On New Supreme Leader Prediction market Polymarket, based on Polygon (CRYPTO: POL), shows a 64% probability that Mojtaba Khamenei...

A federal judge denied Kalshi’s bid for a preliminary injunction against Ohio regulators on Monday, holding that the platform “failed” to establish CFTC’s exclusive jurisdiction over its sports-event contracts. Judge Rejects Kalshi’s Argument Kalshi filed a lawsuit in...

President Donald Trump may have signaled that the war in Iran is almost over, but cryptocurrency bettors don’t see an official declaration of the end of hostilities before this month. When Will Trump Officially Announce The War Over? Polymarket odds that Trump or U.S. officials will formally...

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour defended on Sunday a bet tied to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, who was killed in the joint U.S-Israeli strikes. Bet Not Directly Tied To Death, Says Kalshi CEO Mansour addressed the controversy on X after backlash over the "Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?"...

Cryptocurrency prediction market sees low odds that the Supreme Court will rule in favor of President Donald Trump's tariffs, with a decision anticipated on Wednesday. What Are The Odds Of A Trump Victory? Polymarket odds that the Supreme Court overturns or vacates the earlier court decision that...

Bettors on Polymarket now assign over a 50% probability to a U.S. military strike on Iran this month, following a new advisory urging Americans to leave the protest-hit country immediately. Rising Tensions: US Strike Odds Surge The odds that the U.S. will strike Iran by Jan. 31 have risen to 54%,...

Cryptocurrency bettors do not see a very high chance of the U.S. seizing control of Greenland this year amid mixed signals from the Trump administration over the past week. Greenland Acquisition Bets Get Hotter Odds in favor of the contract titled “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?...